Informed Switchers? How the Impact of Election News Exposure on Vote Change Depends on Political Information Efficacy

Authors

  • Sabine Geers The Amsterdam School of Communication Research (ASCoR), Department of Communication, University of Amsterdam
  • Linda Bos The Amsterdam School of Communication Research (ASCoR), Department of Communication, University of Amsterdam
  • Claes H. De Vreese The Amsterdam School of Communication Research (ASCoR), Department of Communication, University of Amsterdam

Keywords:

media effects, voting behavior, election campaign, panel data

Abstract

The increase in electoral volatility in European democracies has raised the question of whether volatile voters are just randomly switching or actually making more informed vote choices. This study addresses this question by examining the underlying mechanisms through which election news exposure influences two types of voting behavior: crystallization and conversion. Specifically, it examines how political information efficacy and campaign cynicism mediate the impact of election news exposure on both types of voting behavior. We used a Dutch panel survey (N = 1,349) collected during the 2014 European Parliament elections. A structural equation model analysis revealed that election news exposure positively affects voting behavior, both directly and indirectly via information efficacy. Both effects were especially pronounced among voters who were undecided at the onset of the campaign.

Author Biographies

Sabine Geers, The Amsterdam School of Communication Research (ASCoR), Department of Communication, University of Amsterdam

PhD Candidate

Linda Bos, The Amsterdam School of Communication Research (ASCoR), Department of Communication, University of Amsterdam

Assistant Professor

Claes H. De Vreese, The Amsterdam School of Communication Research (ASCoR), Department of Communication, University of Amsterdam

Professor of Political Communication

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Published

2017-04-28

Issue

Section

Articles